Consumer

BJ's Comparable Sales Fall, But They Aren't Bothered At All (BJ)

BJ's (BJ) reported falling comparable sales, yet held it's guidance for the all important fourth quarter. Comparable sales fell only 2.5% nevertheless, and actually a weaker economy continues to help BJ's given that strapped consumers are flocking to it's discount pricing over other retail options. The company is a great example of a business that has performed remarkably well through the U.S. economic downturn and could be interesting given that earnings, which were never hit that bad too begin with, could now be on the upswing. Meanwhile the stock remains well below 2008 highs despite the fact that it has been able to use this downturn to its advantage.

(The author does not own BJ shares)

Check out the full thing here.

 

 

GM's SEC Filing Tells Investors Not to Buy GM Shares, They're Going to Zero

Footnoted points out that GM says it straight in simple in a latest SEC filing: Don't buy GM shares, it is going to zero.

GM management has noticed the continuing high trading volume in GM’s common stock at prices in excess of $1. GM management continues to remind investors of its strong belief that there will be no value for the common stockholders in the bankruptcy liquidation process, even under the most optimistic of scenarios. Stockholders of a company in chapter 11 generally receive value only if all claims of the company’s secured and unsecured creditors are fully satisfied. In this case, GM management strongly believes all such claims will not be fully satisfied, leading to its conclusion that GM common stock will have no value.

As Footnoted points out, it is nice to see honesty, but it's funny when you tell the shareholders you work for that their stake is worthless. I guess that's akin to saying "We don't work for you anymore". Which, fair enough, is true.

FDA Re-Branding the Black Box Warning: How to Make Potential Death More Palatable

Black Box warnings are the most severe type of warning that the FDA can require for a pharmaceutical. They can indicate a wide range of potential risks, with varying degrees of probability, but one thing is for sure. The the term Black Box is downright scary and it frequently highlights a serious, though perhaps very improbable, health risk such as, well, death.

Still, to be fair, it could be simply telling me about a suicide risk that has 1/100th the probability of me similarly dying when I get behind the wheel of a car. And given the dark name, I'm far less inclined to risk the Black Box warning than to drive to the corner store. So perhaps this is a problem, that the term Black Box is too scary even if it does warn of some pretty unfortunate risks.

It appears the FDA has recognized this since they are beginning to phase-out the term with some better word choice. Is it fair if we call this a re-branding of the Black Box?

On the FDA conference call with reporters this afternoon to discuss the new warnings, two agency officials told the news media to use the phrase "Boxed warning" instead of "Black box warning." Why? As one of them put it, "Black box carries the implication, 'Don't you dare use this'." The other official added, "We don't want to scare people off (from trying to quit smoking). We just want them to be carefully monitored."

Constellation Brands FY1Q10 Earnings Release

 
Constellation Brands Reports
Q1 Fiscal 2010 Results
 
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Achieves comparable basis diluted EPS of $0.33 and reported basis diluted EPS of $0.03
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Completes sale of value spirits business
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Decreases debt by more than $110 million during the quarter
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Sees benefits of global cost reduction initiative
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Reaffirms full-year diluted EPS guidance
 

LogMeIn Has a Succesful IPO, Let's Get More of These

Research Reloaded: 

Looks like LogMeIn IPO has priced well and these days every US IPO we can get coming out of the economy is great news. US economy... keep 'em coming.


 

Update: LogMeIn is trading at $20.13 a share in its first hour of trading.

LogMeIn, a Woburn, Mass.-based company that is going public, has priced at $16 a share, according to The Wall Street Journal. LogMeIn will start trading tomorrow under the ticker “LOGM.” With 6.7 million shares on sale, LogMeIn raised a total of $107.2 million. It’s $16-a-share pricing was at the high end of the $14-$16 range, showing that there is a significant market interest in this company, as I pointed out in my previous post.

How a Big Name Start-Up Fails

Research Reloaded: 

Interesting analysis from GigaOm on why the video startup Joost, started by Skype founders, has failed. Long story short: They hired too many people too early, made a mistake in having geographically separate management early on, didn't get Big Media onboard, and probably most importantly... took too long to realize that browser-based, not client-download-this-software-based, video was the future. The summary: They were a 1990's tech company in a 2009 world. Their trouble shows just what a challenge starting something new can be. These guys had the money, the big names, and a lot of early momentum. In any case, I'm sure Skype's brilliant founders will be up to something new in the not too far distant future. Anyways that's the end of this post.. back to watching Hulu...


 

Joost, a much-vaunted online video startup, today announced that it will offer a white-label video hosting platform, thus entering a crowded market littered with the carcasses of other failed video hosts. The company is also losing its famous chief executive, Mike Volpi, whom it’s replacing with Matt Zelesko, the current vice president of engineering. And it plans to cut a portion of its workforce — between about 70 of its remaining 90 employees, according to Advertising Age. It also shut down its office in the Netherlands.

Special Situation - Apple Ups Its Stake in Battle for Imagination Tech

Apple and Intel have been increasing their stakes in London-listed Imagination Technologies (IMG.L). Why? It appears that IMG's technology is currently at the center of the hi-tech world. It's Power VR technology has been used to both power Apple's 3G iPhone and Intel's Atom processer for netbooks. Imagination seems to be nicely capturing some of the fastest growing areas of tech right now.

The battle over Imagination has been an escalating battle between Apple and Intel since December of last year when Apple took a 3.6% stake in Imagination. Back then, Intel then quickly followed suit and bought 3%, but let expanded this beachhead to a whopping 16% just earlier this week. Within days, Apple came in againe and upped their stake to 9.5% in response.

Take a look at this chart of Imagination below. Shares have recently spiked on the news, obviously, but it should be noted that Apple's latest purchase price averaged only 142.75 pence, pretty close to where the shares now trade. (142 pence as per the LSE)

Bing Wins Eye-Tracking Study vs. Google

For those interested in the search engine wars, particularly Bing vs. Google, then you might be interested in a recent usability study done by Catalyst in New York. While they used a statistically insignificant sample size of only 12 people (all who had been Google users beforehand), they did come out with some interesting anecdotal data.

First of all, 4 out of 12 actually said they preferred Bing, with the remaining 8 preferring Google, but apparently because Google was the search engine they were familiar with. Second of all, Bing was actually preferred on most metrics, with Google winning out simply because of familiarity. In terms of search relevance the two engines appear to have tied. Catalyst also studied which parts of the page caught users' attention and found that Bing appeared to get much more eye-time right where one would presumably want it, over the top search results.

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